Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Tucker KraftReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Packers vs. Buccaneers
Right now, Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-114) after it opened @ 34.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.6 per game) this year.
- In this contest, Tucker Kraft is predicted by the model to rank in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.5 targets.
- While Tucker Kraft has been responsible for 4.1% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay’s passing attack in this game at 13.8%.
- Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a terrific 84.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
- Tucker Kraft profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging an impressive 9.76 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 88th percentile.
Cons
- A rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
- Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.4%) vs. TEs this year (68.4%).
- This year, the formidable Buccaneers defense has given up the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.8 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards
28
Receiving Yards
