Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tucker Kraft from EV Insight

Tucker KraftReceiving Yards

Right now, Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards prop is set at 33.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 33.5 (-114) after it opened @ 34.5 (-110).

Pros

The Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (38.6 per game) this year.
In this contest, Tucker Kraft is predicted by the model to rank in the 77th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.5 targets.
While Tucker Kraft has been responsible for 4.1% of his offense’s targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay’s passing attack in this game at 13.8%.
Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a terrific 84.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.
Tucker Kraft profiles as one of the most efficient receivers in the league among tight ends, averaging an impressive 9.76 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 88th percentile.

Cons

A rushing game script is indicated by the Packers being a 3.5-point favorite in this week’s contest.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.4%) vs. TEs this year (68.4%).
This year, the formidable Buccaneers defense has given up the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing TEs: a feeble 6.8 yards.

Projection

THE BLITZ
28
Receiving Yards