NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Tanner HudsonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bengals vs. Vikings
Right now, Tanner Hudson’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year.
- Tanner Hudson has been a much bigger part of his offense’s pass game this year (12.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (5.3%).
- Tanner Hudson has notched quite a few more air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (10.0 per game).
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
- As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year.
- With a lackluster 3.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (16th percentile) this year, Tanner Hudson stands among the top TE receiving threats in the league in picking up extra yardage.
- This year, the tough Minnesota Vikings defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a measly 6.5 yards.
Projection
THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards
25
Receiving Yards
