Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for T.J. Hockenson from EV Insight

T.J. HockensonReceiving Yards

Right now, T.J. Hockenson’s receiving yards prop is set at 51.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 51.5 (-110) after it opened @ 50.5 (-110).

Pros

The Vikings are a 3-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
The predictive model expects T.J. Hockenson to garner 8.5 targets in this week’s contest, on balance, ranking him in the 98th percentile among TEs.
This year, the shaky Bengals defense has allowed a staggering 69.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing tight ends: the worst in the NFL.

Cons

T.J. Hockenson’s skills in generating extra yardage have tailed off this year, totaling just 3.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 6.18 mark last year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
58
Receiving Yards