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Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Stefon Diggs from EV Insight

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Stefon Diggs

Stefon DiggsReceiving Yards

Player Props – Week 15

Bills vs. Cowboys

Right now, Stefon Diggs’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-133/-103).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (-103) after it opened @ 71.5 (-119).

Pros

  • The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.0% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to accumulate 10.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With a high 29.8% Target% (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs places as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.
  • As it relates to air yards, Stefon Diggs grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a striking 104.0 per game.
Cons

  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Stefon Diggs’s 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a significant decline in his receiving skills over last season’s 72.7% mark.
  • Stefon Diggs’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a measly 8.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.62 figure last year.
  • The Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 127.0) versus wide receivers this year.
  • This year, the strong Cowboys defense has allowed a measly 58.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-best rate in football.

Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards

Previous Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Justin Jefferson from EV Insight Next Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Jaylen Warren from EV Insight
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