NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Stefon DiggsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bills vs. Cowboys
Right now, Stefon Diggs’s receiving yards prop is set at 69.5 yards (-133/-103).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 69.5 (-103) after it opened @ 71.5 (-119).
Pros
- The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.0% pass rate.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
- Our trusted projections expect Stefon Diggs to accumulate 10.5 targets in this week’s game, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
- With a high 29.8% Target% (95th percentile) this year, Stefon Diggs places as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.
- As it relates to air yards, Stefon Diggs grades out in the lofty 93rd percentile among wide receivers this year, accumulating a striking 104.0 per game.
Cons
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
- Stefon Diggs’s 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a significant decline in his receiving skills over last season’s 72.7% mark.
- Stefon Diggs’s pass-game effectiveness has diminished this year, totaling a measly 8.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 9.62 figure last year.
- The Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 127.0) versus wide receivers this year.
- This year, the strong Cowboys defense has allowed a measly 58.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-best rate in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
75
Receiving Yards
75
Receiving Yards
