Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Pittman from EV Insight

Michael PittmanReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Pittman’s receiving yards prop is set at 73.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The projections expect the Colts as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
The model projects Michael Pittman to accumulate 11.2 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Michael Pittman has posted a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (77.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Pittsburgh’s group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
88
Receiving Yards