NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Michael MayerReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Michael Mayer’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-115/-115).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
- With a sizeable 62.9% Snap% (77th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer rates as one of the RBs with the highest volume in the league.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
- Michael Mayer comes in as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL among TEs, averaging an exceptional 8.08 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
- When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Los Angeles’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards
25
Receiving Yards
