Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Michael Mayer

Michael MayerReceiving Yards

Right now, Michael Mayer’s receiving yards prop is set at 19.5 yards (-115/-115).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
With a sizeable 62.9% Snap% (77th percentile) this year, Michael Mayer rates as one of the RBs with the highest volume in the league.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
Michael Mayer comes in as one of the most effective receivers in the NFL among TEs, averaging an exceptional 8.08 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.

Cons

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Los Angeles’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards