Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Marquise Brown from EV Insight

Marquise BrownReceiving Yards

Right now, Marquise Brown’s receiving yards prop is set at 39.5 yards (-127/-103).

The public has bet the OVER up to 39.5 (-127) after it opened @ 39.5 (-125).

Pros

This game’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.5% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.0 per game) this year.
With a remarkable 93.7% Route Participation% (94th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown has been as one of the WRs with the highest volume in football.

Cons

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Marquise Brown’s 45.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year marks a noteworthy decrease in his receiving ability over last year’s 60.0 rate.
Marquise Brown’s 55.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy regression in his pass-catching skills over last season’s 62.8% rate.
With a weak 6.2 adjusted yards per target (10th percentile) this year, Marquise Brown places among the worst pass-catching wide receivers in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
56
Receiving Yards