Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Logan Thomas from EV Insight

Logan ThomasReceiving Yards

Right now, Logan Thomas’s receiving yards prop is set at 34.5 yards (-115/-115).

The public has bet the OVER up to 34.5 (-115) after it opened @ 31.5 (-120).

Pros

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week’s contest, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 66.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 8th-most in the league.
Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.0% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
Logan Thomas’s 35.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a substantial gain in his receiving skills over last year’s 25.0 rate.

Cons

The model projects the Commanders offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 28.46 seconds per snap.

Projection

THE BLITZ
37
Receiving Yards