NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Kylen GransonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Colts vs. Steelers
Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-110/-118).
The public has bet the OVER up to 15.5 (-110) after it opened @ 15.5 (-109).
Pros
- The projections expect the Colts as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play.
- The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
- Kylen Granson has notched significantly more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
- When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.
Cons
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
- Kylen Granson’s 64.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 77.7% figure.
- As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Pittsburgh’s group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards
18
Receiving Yards
