Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Kylen Granson from EV Insight

Kylen GransonReceiving Yards

Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-110/-118).

The public has bet the OVER up to 15.5 (-110) after it opened @ 15.5 (-109).

Pros

The projections expect the Colts as the 10th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Colts offense to be the 4th-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Kylen Granson has notched significantly more air yards this year (27.0 per game) than he did last year (18.0 per game).
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the 7th-best in football this year.

Cons

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
Kylen Granson’s 64.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season’s 77.7% figure.
As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Pittsburgh’s group of LBs has been terrific this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
18
Receiving Yards