NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bengals vs. Vikings
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 75.5 yards (-110/-120).
The public has bet the OVER up to 75.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-120).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year.
- Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 96.9% of his team’s passing plays this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among WRs.
- In this week’s game, Ja’Marr Chase is predicted by our trusted projection set to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.0 targets.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
- Ja’Marr Chase has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (89.0 per game) than he did last year (97.0 per game).
- As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year.
- Ja’Marr Chase has accumulated significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (93.0).
Projection
THE BLITZ
80
Receiving Yards
80
Receiving Yards
