Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Drake LondonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Panthers vs. Falcons
Right now, Drake London’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-115/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-115) after it opened @ 56.5 (-115).
Pros
- The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to call the most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Atlanta Falcons have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
- In this week’s contest, Drake London is predicted by the model to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.0 targets.
- Drake London has been a key part of his team’s passing attack, earning a Target Share of 24.2% this year, which places him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
- With a remarkable 62.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (83rd percentile) this year, Drake London ranks among the top pass-catching WRs in football.
Cons
- Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 46.8% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.
- Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
- The Panthers defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 122.0) to wideouts this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
48
Receiving Yards
48
Receiving Yards
