Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DeAndre Hopkins from EV Insight

DeAndre HopkinsReceiving Yards

Right now, DeAndre Hopkins’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 65.5 (-114).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to accumulate 9.6 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Cons

DeAndre Hopkins’s ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling just 2.27 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.43 rate last season.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 128.0) to wide receivers this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.8%) versus wide receivers this year (64.8%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. WRs this year, surrendering 6.83 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the league.
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
66
Receiving Yards