Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Richie James from EV Insight

Richie JamesReceiving Yards

Right now, Richie James’s receiving yards prop is set at 22.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 22.5 (-110) after it opened @ 24.5 (-110).

Pros

The Giants are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 6th-quickest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.50 seconds per snap.
Richie James has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing an impressive 85.2% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 99th percentile among WRs.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown weak efficiency against wideouts this year, giving up 9.01 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in the NFL.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.00 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Cons

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in football.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
Richie James has been among the bottom wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.68 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 14th percentile.
The Washington Commanders safeties profile as the best safety corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Projection

THE BLITZ
40
Receiving Yards