Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Davante Adams from EV Insight

Davante AdamsReceiving Yards

Right now, Davante Adams’s receiving yards prop is set at 68.5 yards (-110/-120).

The public has bet the OVER up to 68.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-110).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
In this week’s contest, Davante Adams is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 10.8 targets.
When talking about air yards, Davante Adams grades out in the towering 98th percentile among wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 121.0 per game.
Davante Adams’s 83.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 75.0.

Cons

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
Davante Adams’s 70.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season reflects a substantial decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season’s 89.0 mark.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards