Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
CeeDee LambReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bills vs. Cowboys
Right now, CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards prop is set at 86.5 yards (-119/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 86.5 (-115) after it opened @ 90.5 (-115).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
- CeeDee Lamb’s 100.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year reflects a substantial gain in his receiving proficiency over last year’s 82.0 rate.
- This year, the feeble Bills pass defense has been gouged for a staggering 72.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in the league.
Cons
- This year, the imposing Bills pass defense has yielded the 2nd-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a paltry 3.3 YAC.
- The Buffalo cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
90
Receiving Yards
90
Receiving Yards
