NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-114).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
- In this contest, Brandon Aiyuk is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.9 targets.
- After accumulating 69.0 air yards per game last year, Brandon Aiyuk has seen marked improvement this year, now pacing 97.0 per game.
- Brandon Aiyuk’s 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 58.8.
- Brandon Aiyuk has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (83.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
Cons
- This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- The model projects the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
- The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.0 plays per game.
- Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.5 per game) this year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards
85
Receiving Yards
