Week 15 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Brandon Aiyuk from EV Insight

Brandon AiyukReceiving Yards

Right now, Brandon Aiyuk’s receiving yards prop is set at 67.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 67.5 (-110) after it opened @ 66.5 (-114).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Brandon Aiyuk is anticipated by our trusted projection set to rank in the 86th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.9 targets.
After accumulating 69.0 air yards per game last year, Brandon Aiyuk has seen marked improvement this year, now pacing 97.0 per game.
Brandon Aiyuk’s 72.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 58.8.
Brandon Aiyuk has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (83.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Cons

This game’s spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the 49ers to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 53.0 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.5 per game) this year.

Projection

THE BLITZ
85
Receiving Yards