Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Will LevisPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Titans vs. Texans
Right now, Will Levis’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 206.5 (-110) after it opened @ 208.5 (-114).
Pros
- This year, the feeble Texans defense has allowed a monstrous 266.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing teams: the 4th-worst in football.
- The Houston Texans pass defense has displayed bad efficiency this year, surrendering 8.31 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-most in the league.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Titans are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
- Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tennessee Titans to pass on 51.8% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
- Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projection model to call just 64.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
- The Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
- The Tennessee offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Projection
THE BLITZ
197
Passing Yards
197
Passing Yards
