Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Mitchell Trubisky from EV Insight

Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards

Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 202.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 202.5 (-133) after it opened @ 204.5 (-117).

Pros

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Cons

The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.41 seconds per snap.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
Mitchell Trubisky has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (120.0) this year than he did last year (178.0).
Mitchell Trubisky’s passing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 64.6% to 59.9%.

Projection

THE BLITZ
226
Passing Yards