Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Mitchell TrubiskyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Colts vs. Steelers
Right now, Mitchell Trubisky’s passing yards prop is set at 202.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 202.5 (-133) after it opened @ 204.5 (-117).
Pros
- The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Cons
- The predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.41 seconds per snap.
- Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
- As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
- Mitchell Trubisky has passed for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (120.0) this year than he did last year (178.0).
- Mitchell Trubisky’s passing precision has declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 64.6% to 59.9%.
Projection
THE BLITZ
226
Passing Yards
226
Passing Yards
