Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Kyler MurrayPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Cardinals vs. 49ers
Right now, Kyler Murray’s passing yards prop is set at 211.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the OVER up to 211.5 (-115) after it opened @ 210.5 (-113).
Pros
- This game’s spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -11.5-point underdogs.
- Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.5% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
- The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
- The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (39.0 per game) this year.
Cons
- Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 61.5 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.
- The Arizona offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
- Kyler Murray’s 60.2% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a significant reduction in his passing precision over last year’s 64.5% figure.
- This year, the fierce 49ers defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a meager 6.9 yards.
- The 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.12 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
256
Passing Yards
256
Passing Yards
