Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Josh AllenPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bills vs. Cowboys
Right now, Josh Allen’s passing yards prop is set at 259.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 259.5 (-114) after it opened @ 263.5 (-114).
Pros
- The model projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 67.0% pass rate.
- Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see 132.3 total plays run: the 3rd-highest number out of all the games this week.
- This week, Josh Allen is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 5th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.3.
- The Buffalo offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
- With a fantastic total of 279.0 adjusted passing yards per game (94th percentile), Josh Allen has been among the leading passers in football this year.
Cons
- Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the 4th-fewest yards in the league (just 201.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
- Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football against the Cowboys defense this year (64.0% Adjusted Completion%).
- When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas’s unit has been excellent this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
241
Passing Yards
241
Passing Yards
