Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Joe Flacco from EV Insight

Joe FlaccoPassing Yards

Right now, Joe Flacco’s passing yards prop is set at 226.5 yards (-121/-113).

The public has bet the OVER up to 226.5 (-121) after it opened @ 223.5 (-111).

Pros

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are projected by the projection model to call 66.2 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.2 plays per game.
Joe Flacco has attempted 43.0 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile among QBs.
The Chicago Bears defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
The Browns O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Cons

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Joe Flacco checks in as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL this year with a 55.1% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 16th percentile.

Projection

THE BLITZ
186
Passing Yards