Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Jake Browning from EV Insight

Jake BrowningPassing Yards

Right now, Jake Browning’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-101/-135).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 232.5 (-135) after it opened @ 240.5 (-117).

Pros

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
In this week’s game, Jake Browning is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.9.
The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year.
With a fantastic 77.8% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, Jake Browning has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football.

Cons

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year.
As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota’s safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

Projection

THE BLITZ
259
Passing Yards