NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Jake BrowningPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bengals vs. Vikings
Right now, Jake Browning’s passing yards prop is set at 232.5 yards (-101/-135).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 232.5 (-135) after it opened @ 240.5 (-117).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
- The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- In this week’s game, Jake Browning is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.9.
- The Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.8 per game) this year.
- With a fantastic 77.8% Adjusted Completion% (94th percentile) this year, Jake Browning has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football.
Cons
- With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week’s game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their typical approach.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.9 plays per game.
- As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year.
- As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Minnesota’s safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
259
Passing Yards
259
Passing Yards
