Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Deshaun WatsonPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Browns vs. Ravens
Right now, Deshaun Watson’s passing yards prop is set at 220.5 yards (-115/-113).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 220.5 (-113) after it opened @ 228.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Cleveland Browns have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.5 plays per game.
- The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
- Opposing teams have thrown for the 3rd-most yards in the league (276.0 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
- Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest clip in football versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.1%).
- The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, allowing 8.43 yards-per-target: the 5th-most in football.
Cons
- The Browns are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
- THE BLITZ projects Deshaun Watson to attempt 28.8 passes in this week’s contest, on average: the 4th-least of all QBs.
Projection
THE BLITZ
194
Passing Yards
194
Passing Yards
