Week 15 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Cordarrelle Patterson from EV Insight

Cordarrelle PattersonRushing Yards

Right now, Cordarrelle Patterson’s rushing yards prop is set at 50.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 50.5 (-117) after it opened @ 52.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Cordarrelle Patterson has garnered 42.5% of his team’s carries this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the best in the league this year at run-game blocking.
Cordarrelle Patterson has rushed for a lot more yards per game (63.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).
The New Orleans Saints defense owns the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 4.81 yards-per-carry.

Cons

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week’s game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints defensive ends profile as the 7th-best collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

Projection

THE BLITZ
50
Rushing Yards