Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Dak PrescottPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Bills vs. Cowboys
Right now, Dak Prescott’s passing yards prop is set at 276.5 yards (-120/-115).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 276.5 (-115) after it opened @ 280.5 (-115).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
- Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are predicted by the predictive model to run 66.1 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
- The Cowboys have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
- Dak Prescott’s 278.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a material progression in his throwing ability over last year’s 241.0 figure.
- This year, the shaky Bills defense has been torched for a colossal 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL.
Cons
- This year, the tough Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 9th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing offenses: a puny 4.4 YAC.
- The Buffalo cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
263
Passing Yards
263
Passing Yards
