NBA Postseason Best Bets (5/3)
Alex Christenson
Colt McCoyPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Broncos vs. Cardinals
Right now, Colt McCoy’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 206.5 (-110) after it opened @ 213.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
- The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
- The Denver Broncos defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.
Cons
- Colt McCoy has attempted a measly 21.5 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile among QBs.
- Colt McCoy has been among the bottom QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 145.0 yards per game while ranking in the 21st percentile.
- Colt McCoy’s passing precision has declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 72.8% to 69.5%.
- Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 212.0 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense this year.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.66 yards-per-target: the least in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
210
Passing Yards
210
Passing Yards
