Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Colt McCoy from EV Insight

Colt McCoyPassing Yards

Right now, Colt McCoy’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 206.5 (-110) after it opened @ 213.5 (-115).

Pros

The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup QB TEXT1 this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Denver Broncos defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.64 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-most in football.

Cons

Colt McCoy has attempted a measly 21.5 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile among QBs.
Colt McCoy has been among the bottom QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 145.0 yards per game while ranking in the 21st percentile.
Colt McCoy’s passing precision has declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 72.8% to 69.5%.
Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 212.0 per game) versus the Denver Broncos defense this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, yielding 6.66 yards-per-target: the least in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
210
Passing Yards