Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Brett RypienPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Broncos vs. Cardinals
Right now, Brett Rypien’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-120/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 205.5 (-110) after it opened @ 212.5 (-114).
Pros
- The Denver Broncos will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- The Broncos have been the 10th-most pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) this year with a 62.0% pass rate.
- THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Cons
- Brett Rypien has been among the worst precision passers in football this year with a 55.6% Completion%, ranking in the 11th percentile.
- Brett Rypien has been among the worst per-play passers in football this year, averaging a mere 4.69 yards-per-target while grading out in the lowly 9th percentile.
- The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.
- The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.
Projection
THE BLITZ
231
Passing Yards
231
Passing Yards
