Week 15 Player Props: Passing Yards for Aidan O'Connell from EV Insight

Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards

Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 206.5 (-110) after it opened @ 204.5 (-110).

Pros

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
This year, the anemic Chargers defense has been torched for a whopping 282.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the worst in the league.
This year, the porous Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 8.21 yards.

Cons

The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Los Angeles’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
192
Passing Yards