NHL Best Bets for Tuesday (11/19)
Kenneth Le
Aidan O’ConnellPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 15
Raiders vs. Chargers
Right now, Aidan O’Connell’s passing yards prop is set at 206.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 206.5 (-110) after it opened @ 204.5 (-110).
Pros
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- Opposing offenses have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
- When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
- This year, the anemic Chargers defense has been torched for a whopping 282.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the worst in the league.
- This year, the porous Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a massive 8.21 yards.
Cons
- The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a running game script.
- Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 55.7% of their downs: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
- Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.
- The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (a measly 53.5 per game on average).
- When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Los Angeles’s unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
192
Passing Yards
192
Passing Yards
