Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Saquon Barkley from EV Insight

Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards

Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-103/-133).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-133) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to notch 19.7 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
Saquon Barkley has run for quite a few more yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).

Cons

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

Projection

THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards