Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Saquon BarkleyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Giants vs. Eagles
Right now, Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards prop is set at 65.5 yards (-103/-133).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 65.5 (-133) after it opened @ 71.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 8th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 44.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects Saquon Barkley to notch 19.7 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.
- Saquon Barkley has run for quite a few more yards per game (82.0) this season than he did last season (41.0).
Cons
- The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
- The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
- The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.
- The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
Projection
THE BLITZ
86
Rushing Yards
86
Rushing Yards
