Week 14 Player Props: Rushing Yards for Keaton Mitchell from EV Insight

Keaton MitchellRushing Yards

Right now, Keaton Mitchell’s rushing yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-112/-117).

The public has bet the OVER up to 49.5 (-112) after it opened @ 43.5 (-115).

Pros

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored in this week’s game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.0% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by the predictive model to call 66.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

Cons

The Ravens have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.5% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Los Angeles Rams defensive tackles rank as the 5th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

Projection

THE BLITZ
42
Rushing Yards