Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Jerick McKinnonRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Chiefs vs. Bills
Right now, Jerick McKinnon’s rushing yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are predicted by the projections to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-most on the slate this week.
- The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL last year at blocking for rushers.
- This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills run defense has surrendered a meager 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 29th-lowest rate in the league.
Cons
- Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-least run-focused team on the slate this week with a 35.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
- The Buffalo Bills linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
23
Rushing Yards
23
Rushing Yards
