Week 14 Player Props: Passing Yards for Drew Lock from EV Insight

Drew LockPassing Yards

Right now, Drew Lock’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

The Seahawks may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
The Seahawks are a heavy 14.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
In this week’s game, Drew Lock is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.9.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.

Cons

The projections expect the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.8 per game on average).
This year, the daunting 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a measly 6.8 yards.
The 49ers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
234
Passing Yards