Week 11 NFL Moneyline Underdogs
Mike Randle
Drew LockPassing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Seahawks
Right now, Drew Lock’s passing yards prop is set at 205.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- The Seahawks may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
- The Seahawks are a heavy 14.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- In this week’s game, Drew Lock is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.9.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.
Cons
- The projections expect the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.8 per game on average).
- This year, the daunting 49ers defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing squads: a measly 6.8 yards.
- The 49ers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.16 yards-after-the-catch this year: the fewest in the league.
- When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
234
Passing Yards
234
Passing Yards
