Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Evan Engram from EV Insight

Evan EngramReceiving Yards

Right now, Evan Engram’s receiving yards prop is set at 45.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 45.5 (-110) after it opened @ 44.5 (-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.4% pass rate.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are forecasted by the projections to run 65.7 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.2 plays per game.
In this contest, Evan Engram is forecasted by the projections to land in the 98th percentile among TEs with 7.4 targets.
Evan Engram’s 50.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 43.0 rate.

Cons

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cleveland Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (just 28.2 per game) this year.
This year, the tough Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered a feeble 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing TEs: the best in the NFL.
This year, the imposing Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a mere 6.4 yards.
As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Cleveland’s DE corps has been great this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
39
Receiving Yards