Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
D’Andre SwiftRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Cowboys vs. Eagles
Right now, D’Andre Swift’s rushing yards prop is set at 53.5 yards (-131/-104).
The public has bet the OVER up to 53.5 (-131) after it opened @ 48.5 (-119).
Pros
- After accounting for 25.3% of his team’s run game usage last season, D’Andre Swift has played a bigger part in the run game this season, now comprising 48.1%.
- The Philadelphia O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
- D’Andre Swift’s 63.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a noteworthy gain in his running prowess over last season’s 38.0 figure.
Cons
- The Eagles have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
- A passing game script is implied by the Eagles being a -3.5-point underdog in this week’s game.
- The projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 28.60 seconds per snap.
- This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
- The Dallas Cowboys defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up just 4.15 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
Projection
THE BLITZ
52
Rushing Yards
52
Rushing Yards
