Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Christian McCaffreyRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Seahawks
Right now, Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards prop is set at 81.5 yards (-110/-110).
Pros
- This game’s line implies an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are heavily favored by 14.5 points.
- The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 49.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
- In this contest, Christian McCaffrey is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 99th percentile among running backs with 21.4 carries.
- As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the significance it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.
- Christian McCaffrey has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (94.0) this year than he did last year (68.0).
Cons
- The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
- The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (just 53.6 per game on average).
- Christian McCaffrey’s 82.9% snap rate this year represents a noteworthy growth in his offensive utilization over last year’s 71.5% mark.
Projection
THE BLITZ
102
Rushing Yards
102
Rushing Yards
