Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Alvin KamaraRushing Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Saints vs. Panthers
Right now, Alvin Kamara’s rushing yards prop is set at 66.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 66.5 (-110) after it opened @ 59.5 (-110).
Pros
- A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
- Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
- The New Orleans Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
- In this game, Alvin Kamara is projected by the predictive model to place in the 92nd percentile among RBs with 18.1 carries.
- The Panthers defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, giving up 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
- With an atrocious tally of 2.47 yards after contact (12th percentile) this year, Alvin Kamara stands as one of the least formidable RBs in the league.
Projection
THE BLITZ
74
Rushing Yards
74
Rushing Yards
