Pros
- This week’s spread implies a running game script for the Vikings, who are favored by 3 points.
- In this game, Alexander Mattison is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.0 carries.
- Alexander Mattison has been much more involved in his offense’s run game this season (56.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (17.8%).
- Alexander Mattison’s 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a meaningful improvement in his rushing prowess over last season’s 16.0 mark.
- The Raiders defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, surrendering 4.71 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Cons
- The Vikings may throw the ball less in this week’s game (and call more rushes) as a result of being be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
- Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 39.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
- Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Minnesota Vikings are forecasted by the projection model to run just 64.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.
- The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still “weather” conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
- The Raiders defensive ends project as the best group of DEs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
Projection
THE BLITZ
51
Rushing Yards