Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tyler Conklin from EV Insight

Tyler ConklinReceiving Yards

Right now, Tyler Conklin’s receiving yards prop is set at 25.5 yards (+100/-130).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 25.5 (-130) after it opened @ 25.5 (-115).

Pros

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense as the 6th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.49 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Conklin to total 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among TEs.
Tyler Conklin has put up far more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (29.0 per game).
Tyler Conklin has been among the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 33.0 yards per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Cons

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered the 5th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 38.0) versus tight ends this year.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (69.1%) versus tight ends this year (69.1%).
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 5.64 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Projection

THE BLITZ
25
Receiving Yards