Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Tucker Kraft from EV Insight

Tucker KraftReceiving Yards

Right now, Tucker Kraft’s receiving yards prop is set at 29.5 yards (-110/-110).

Pros

Our trusted projections expect Tucker Kraft to accrue 4.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.
While Tucker Kraft has been responsible for 3.4% of his team’s targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Green Bay’s passing offense this week at 14.8%.
Tucker Kraft ranks as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging a stellar 8.56 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 75th percentile.
Tucker Kraft comes in as one of the best tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 81st percentile.
The New York Giants pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.63 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the league.

Cons

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.
The predictive model expects the Packers as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 57.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by the projections to run only 63.9 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 55.9 plays per game.
The Giants pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.7%) to tight ends this year (60.7%).

Projection

THE BLITZ
30
Receiving Yards