Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
Mark AndrewsReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Steelers vs. Ravens
Right now, Mark Andrews’s receiving yards prop is set at 55.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the OVER up to 55.5 (-110) after it opened @ 51.5 (-115).
Pros
- The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week’s contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
- THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 7.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.
- Mark Andrews has notched a whopping 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
- Mark Andrews’s 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 61.7.
- The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (58.0) versus TEs this year.
Cons
- THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Mark Andrews has totaled quite a few less receiving yards per game (63.0) this year than he did last year (82.0).
- Mark Andrews’s receiving reliability have declined this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 65.4%.
- Mark Andrews’s pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, accumulating a mere 7.96 yards-per-target vs a 9.33 rate last year.
Projection
THE BLITZ
54
Receiving Yards
54
Receiving Yards
