Prime-Time First TD Bets — Monday Night Football, Week 16
Alex Christenson
Kylen GransonReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Colts
Right now, Kylen Granson’s receiving yards prop is set at 15.5 yards (+100/-130).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 15.5 (-130) after it opened @ 15.5 (-115).
Pros
- Our trusted projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a massive 60.5 per game on average).
- Kylen Granson has accrued quite a few more air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (18.0 per game).
- The Colts offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
- The Bengals defense has given up the most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (68.0) vs. tight ends this year.
Cons
- Kylen Granson’s 66.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season shows a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season’s 77.7% rate.
Projection
THE BLITZ
13
Receiving Yards
13
Receiving Yards
