Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Juwan Johnson from EV Insight

Juwan JohnsonReceiving Yards

Right now, Juwan Johnson’s receiving yards prop is set at 28.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 28.5 (-110) after it opened @ 25.5 (-110).

Pros

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have 134.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this contest, Juwan Johnson is projected by the projections to finish in the 79th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.3 targets.
The Panthers pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. tight ends this year, conceding 8.29 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in the league.

Cons

A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
Juwan Johnson has posted far fewer air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (37.0 per game).
Juwan Johnson’s 24.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 30.4.
Juwan Johnson has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (32.0).

Projection

THE BLITZ
31
Receiving Yards