Prop God’s NFL Playbook: Week 12
Prop God
JuJu Smith-SchusterReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Right now, JuJu Smith-Schuster’s receiving yards prop is set at 49.5 yards (-105/-125).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 49.5 (-125) after it opened @ 49.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
- THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 59.8 plays per game.
- THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to total 7.6 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has totaled quite a few more receiving yards per game (64.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).
Cons
- The Chiefs are a giant 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
- JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this season (74.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (93.0%).
- The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 128.0) vs. wideouts this year.
- The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 6.91 yards-per-target to the position: the least in football.
- The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection
THE BLITZ
59
Receiving Yards
59
Receiving Yards
