Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Ja'Marr Chase from EV Insight

Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards

Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-114/-114).

The public has bet the OVER up to 83.5 (-114) after it opened @ 81.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 67.2% pass rate.
The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 98.5% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Ja’Marr Chase to total 9.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
Ja’Marr Chase has compiled substantially more receiving yards per game (89.0) this season than he did last season (78.0).

Cons

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
Ja’Marr Chase has posted far fewer air yards this year (99.0 per game) than he did last year (105.0 per game).
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.

Projection

THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards