WNBA Best Bets (Wednesday 9/25)
Josh Gross
Ja’Marr ChaseReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
Bengals vs. Browns
Right now, Ja’Marr Chase’s receiving yards prop is set at 83.5 yards (-114/-114).
The public has bet the OVER up to 83.5 (-114) after it opened @ 81.5 (-115).
Pros
- THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 67.2% pass rate.
- The Cincinnati Bengals have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
- Ja’Marr Chase has run a route on 98.5% of his team’s dropbacks this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among WRs.
- THE BLITZ projects Ja’Marr Chase to total 9.8 targets in this week’s game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.
- Ja’Marr Chase has compiled substantially more receiving yards per game (89.0) this season than he did last season (78.0).
Cons
- The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week’s contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
- THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
- Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.
- Ja’Marr Chase has posted far fewer air yards this year (99.0 per game) than he did last year (105.0 per game).
- The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-least in the NFL.
Projection
THE BLITZ
87
Receiving Yards
87
Receiving Yards
