Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for Jack Stoll from EV Insight

Jack StollReceiving Yards

Right now, Jack Stoll’s receiving yards prop is set at 9.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the OVER up to 9.5 (-110) after it opened @ 8.5 (-115).

Pros

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Jack Stoll has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (35.4% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (11.8%).
Jack Stoll has put up quite a few more air yards this year (9.0 per game) than he did last year (1.0 per game).
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (79.4%) versus TEs this year (79.4%).

Cons

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 5th-least in the NFL.
Jack Stoll has been among the most hard-handed receivers in football among tight ends, completing a mere 63.8% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.
The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Projection

THE BLITZ
13
Receiving Yards