NBA Prop of the Day
Jake Silverman
DK MetcalfReceiving Yards
Player Props – Week 14
49ers vs. Seahawks
Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).
The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-110).
Pros
- The Seahawks may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
- The Seahawks are a heavy 14.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
- The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
- The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.
- D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 72.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.
Cons
- The projections expect the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
- The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.8 per game on average).
- The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
- When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection
THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards
62
Receiving Yards
