Week 14 Player Props: Receiving Yards for DK Metcalf from EV Insight

DK MetcalfReceiving Yards

Right now, DK Metcalf’s receiving yards prop is set at 46.5 yards (-110/-110).

The public has bet the UNDER down to 46.5 (-110) after it opened @ 61.5 (-110).

Pros

The Seahawks may take to the air less in this game (and call more carries) given that they be forced to start backup quarterback Drew Lock.
The Seahawks are a heavy 14.5-point underdog in this week’s game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (39.8 per game) this year.
D.K. Metcalf rates as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 72.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Cons

The projections expect the Seahawks to run the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.8 per game on average).
The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco’s collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

Projection

THE BLITZ
62
Receiving Yards